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Climate Risk: Short-Term and Long-Term Credit Consequences

Oct 29, 2021 | Whether climate risk is actually a threat to financial stability has been a subject of ongoing ...

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Biggest U.S. Banks' SLRs Continue Trending Down

Oct 29, 2021 | Continuing to decline after a temporary rise last year, the largest banks' weighted average ...

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Model Risk: Why Size Matters for Banks

Oct 8, 2021 | As a general rule, the bigger the bank, the more sophisticated its credit-risk models. But ...

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How Effective are Your Scenarios?

Sep 24, 2021 | Financial institutions need scenarios to measure future risks and returns, as well as to understand ...

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The Case for Monte Carlo Simulations

Sep 17, 2021 | When narrative scenarios first became a standard tool for risk management, around the time of SCAP ...

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Credit Risk Measurement: Alternatives for PD-LGD-EAD on the Horizon?

Even after 40 years, the PD-LGD-EAD framework is still going strong – but models with more power and greater predictive accuracy are lurking. Though...

Friday, February 7, 2025

Stress Testing: A Practical Guide

Banks and regulators remain committed to stress testing. What are the different types of tests and approaches, and what elements are necessary to...

Friday, January 31, 2020

IFRS 9 and Probability of Default: A Web of Confusion

The proper calculation of probability of default is crucial for European banks that need to comply with IRFS 9, the forward-looking financial...

Friday, April 11, 2025

Probability of Default: How to Pass the Jeffreys Test and Improve Predictive Ability

To back-test PD and meet the European Central Bank's validation requirements for measurement of defaults, many banks use a predictive ability tool...

Friday, September 18, 2020

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The Modeling Dilemma: Great Expectations and Cold Reality

Aug 27, 2021 | Sometimes you perceive something as a major risk, but the reality exposed by the data just doesn't ...

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Probability of Default: The Pluses and Minuses of Transition Matrices

Aug 13, 2021 | Transition matrices measure the transition probabilities for credit-risk ratings over specific time ...

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Should We Centralize Stress Testing?

Aug 6, 2021 | Nearly every civilization since antiquity has developed the concept of a “trickster.” This god, ...

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How to Stress Test for Extremely Unexpected Scenarios

Jul 23, 2021 | In the financial services community, surprises aren't to everyone's taste. Sometimes, like the ...



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