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Addressing Geopolitical Risk Through Stochastic Matrices

Jun 13, 2025 | Last month, the European Banking Authority (EBA) issued a new report that sounded the alarm about ...

ARTICLE


Trade Wars Should Motivate Banks to Rethink Credit Risk Management

May 16, 2025 | Barriers to trade have many repercussions in the real economy, including price hikes, rising ...

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IFRS 9 and Probability of Default: A Web of Confusion

Apr 11, 2025 | IFRS 9 rules for calculating the lifetime expected credit loss (ECL) continue to create confusion. ...

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Credit Risk Measurement: Alternatives for PD-LGD-EAD on the Horizon?

Feb 7, 2025 | Probability of default (PD), loss-given default (LGD) and exposure at default (EAD) have been the ...

ARTICLE


Sovereign Exposures: Zero Reason for Zero Risk Weight

Jan 10, 2025 | Fueled by rampant geopolitical uncertainty, sovereign risk is on the rise in Europe. Policymakers ...

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Credit Risk Measurement: Alternatives for PD-LGD-EAD on the Horizon?

Even after 40 years, the PD-LGD-EAD framework is still going strong – but models with more power and greater predictive accuracy are lurking. Though...

Friday, February 7, 2025

Stress Testing: A Practical Guide

Banks and regulators remain committed to stress testing. What are the different types of tests and approaches, and what elements are necessary to...

Friday, January 31, 2020

Probability of Default: How to Pass the Jeffreys Test and Improve Predictive Ability

To back-test PD and meet the European Central Bank's validation requirements for measurement of defaults, many banks use a predictive ability tool...

Friday, September 18, 2020

IFRS 9 and Probability of Default: A Web of Confusion

The proper calculation of probability of default is crucial for European banks that need to comply with IRFS 9, the forward-looking financial...

Friday, April 11, 2025

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Statistical Hypothesis Skepticism: Implications for Credit Risk

Nov 27, 2024 | Financial risk managers continue to rely heavily on statistical hypothesis testing in modeling and ...

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The ECB’s Paper on Novel Risks and IFRS 9 Overlays: A Missed Opportunity

Sep 13, 2024 | Banks are continuously confronted with new risks that require evaluation. It is, however, quite ...

ARTICLE


Credit Modeling: How to Improve Discriminatory Power

Aug 2, 2024 | The drive to increase the discriminatory power of a model is like the search for the Holy Grail for ...

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The Evolving Role of G-SIBs: Is Big Beautiful Again?

Jun 7, 2024 | For many years, in the aftermath of the global financial crisis (GFC), a stigma was attached to ...



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