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Addressing Geopolitical Risk Through Stochastic Matrices

Jun 13, 2025 | Last month, the European Banking Authority (EBA) issued a new report that sounded the alarm about ...

ARTICLE


Trade Wars Should Motivate Banks to Rethink Credit Risk Management

May 16, 2025 | Barriers to trade have many repercussions in the real economy, including price hikes, rising ...

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IFRS 9 and Probability of Default: A Web of Confusion

Apr 11, 2025 | IFRS 9 rules for calculating the lifetime expected credit loss (ECL) continue to create confusion. ...

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Credit Risk Measurement: Alternatives for PD-LGD-EAD on the Horizon?

Feb 7, 2025 | Probability of default (PD), loss-given default (LGD) and exposure at default (EAD) have been the ...

ARTICLE


Sovereign Exposures: Zero Reason for Zero Risk Weight

Jan 10, 2025 | Fueled by rampant geopolitical uncertainty, sovereign risk is on the rise in Europe. Policymakers ...

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Credit Risk Measurement: Alternatives for PD-LGD-EAD on the Horizon?

Even after 40 years, the PD-LGD-EAD framework is still going strong – but models with more power and greater predictive accuracy are lurking. Though...

Friday, February 7, 2025

Stress Testing: A Practical Guide

Banks and regulators remain committed to stress testing. What are the different types of tests and approaches, and what elements are necessary to...

Friday, January 31, 2020

IFRS 9 and Probability of Default: A Web of Confusion

The proper calculation of probability of default is crucial for European banks that need to comply with IRFS 9, the forward-looking financial...

Friday, April 11, 2025

Probability of Default: How to Pass the Jeffreys Test and Improve Predictive Ability

To back-test PD and meet the European Central Bank's validation requirements for measurement of defaults, many banks use a predictive ability tool...

Friday, September 18, 2020

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Statistical Hypothesis Skepticism: Implications for Credit Risk

Nov 27, 2024 | Financial risk managers continue to rely heavily on statistical hypothesis testing in modeling and ...

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The ECB’s Paper on Novel Risks and IFRS 9 Overlays: A Missed Opportunity

Sep 13, 2024 | Banks are continuously confronted with new risks that require evaluation. It is, however, quite ...

ARTICLE


Credit Modeling: How to Improve Discriminatory Power

Aug 2, 2024 | The drive to increase the discriminatory power of a model is like the search for the Holy Grail for ...

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The Evolving Role of G-SIBs: Is Big Beautiful Again?

Jun 7, 2024 | For many years, in the aftermath of the global financial crisis (GFC), a stigma was attached to ...



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