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How to Prepare for Future Crises: A Multi-Scenario Approach to Tail Risk

Mar 26, 2021 | “The future is not set,” said Kyle Reese, the hero in The Terminator movie. That, believe it or ...

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Credit-Loss Forecasting: A Practical Guide to CECL Implementation in Uncertain Times

Feb 26, 2021 | Now more than ever, with COVID-19 rendering historical data mostly irrelevant for loss forecasting, ...

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Cyborg Model Validation

Jan 22, 2021 | COVID-19 has yielded a crisis of confidence in models employed by financial institutions. Too many ...

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Putting Stress Tests in the Blender

Oct 23, 2020 | In September, to further test bank balance sheets for stress, the Federal Reserve took the ...

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Diving Deeper Into CECL: The Best Strategy for Forecasting Expected Credit Losses

Aug 23, 2019 | As the implementation deadline for the Current Expected Credit Loss (CECL) accounting standard ...

Trending Articles

Credit Risk Measurement: Alternatives for PD-LGD-EAD on the Horizon?

Even after 40 years, the PD-LGD-EAD framework is still going strong – but models with more power and greater predictive accuracy are lurking. Though...

Friday, February 7, 2025

Stress Testing: A Practical Guide

Banks and regulators remain committed to stress testing. What are the different types of tests and approaches, and what elements are necessary to...

Friday, January 31, 2020

Probability of Default: How to Pass the Jeffreys Test and Improve Predictive Ability

To back-test PD and meet the European Central Bank's validation requirements for measurement of defaults, many banks use a predictive ability tool...

Friday, September 18, 2020

IFRS 9 and Probability of Default: A Web of Confusion

The proper calculation of probability of default is crucial for European banks that need to comply with IRFS 9, the forward-looking financial...

Friday, April 11, 2025

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A Proactive, Integrated Approach to Capital Planning

Apr 26, 2019 | More than a decade after the financial crisis, senior managers of financial institutions face two ...

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