About this Session


Expected Credit Loss Forecasting: the Rise of Uncertainty

Wednesday, March 16, 2022 3:00 PM

  • Adjustments for CECL and IFRS 9 modeling
  • Impact of government support programs, including payment forbearance and stimulus checks
  • How the pandemic response untethered unemployment from default risk
  • Historical data deficiencies: not enough timely, high-quality data


Michael Dowling

Full Professor of Finance, DCU Business School


David Curtis

Chief Credit Officer, Permanent TSB 

Miles Elliott

Risk Management Customer Advisory Lead, SAS

Stephan Wiehler

Head of Core Credit (AIRB & Scenarios Loss Analysis), Credit Suisse